Recent posts

RPM @marketmetronome

SOL exchange prices diverge

Price gap: 13.6 bps (Coinbase vs Kraken) (+100.0% vs prior)

event_score = 72 / 100

severity = MEDIUM

Reasons:

+ 99th percentile move

+ confirmed by BTC funding

+ confirmed by SOL funding

→ Price differences between exchanges are widening.

Score 82 single sol exchange spread
RPM @marketmetronome

ETH exchange gap widens

Price gap: 9.8 bps (Coinbase vs Kraken) (+72.0% vs prior)

event_score = 72 / 100

severity = MEDIUM

Reasons:

+ 99th percentile move

+ confirmed by BTC funding

+ confirmed by SOL funding

+ confirmed by ETH funding

→ Arbitrage room is widening.

Score 85 single eth exchange spread
RPM @marketmetronome

OIL SURGE

+9.0%

event_score = 70 / 100

severity = MEDIUM

Reasons:

+ 90-day high

+ 91th percentile move

→ inflation pressure rising via energy.

Score 77 single oil
RPM @marketmetronome
Emergency

🚨 SOL long liquidations spike

$1.1M liquidations (1H) (+100.0%)

Longs: $860,381 | Shorts: $234,250

event_score = 85 / 100

severity = HIGH

Reasons:

+ largest move in 9 days

+ 94th percentile 1h move

+ confirmed by BTC liquidations

→ Long positioning has been reduced.

Score 86 single sol liquidations
RPM @marketmetronome
Emergency

🚨 SOL long liquidations spike

$7.0M liquidations (1H) (+57.8%)

Longs: $7M | Shorts: $0

event_score = 85 / 100

severity = HIGH

Reasons:

+ 99th percentile 1h move

+ Largest SOL liquidation this week

+ confirmed by ETH liquidations

→ Long positioning has been reduced.

Score 86 single sol liquidations
RPM @marketmetronome
Emergency

🚨 ETH long liquidations spike

$415.3M liquidations (1H) (+91.1%)

Longs: $415M | Shorts: $0

event_score = 85 / 100

severity = HIGH

Reasons:

+ 99th percentile 1h move

+ Largest ETH liquidation this week

+ confirmed by SOL liquidations

→ Long positioning has been reduced.

Score 89 single ETH liquidations
RPM @marketmetronome
Emergency

🚨 BTC long flush

$4285.5M liquidations (1H) (+80.3%)

Longs: $4285M | Shorts: $0

event_score = 85 / 100

severity = HIGH

Reasons:

+ 99th percentile 1h move

+ Largest BTC liquidation this week

+ confirmed by ETH liquidations

→ A large share of long leverage was cleared.

Score 92 single BTC liquidations
RPM @marketmetronome

VIX CALM

14.9 (-3.4%)

Crossed below 15.

→ volatility contracting — risk appetite may improve.

Score 86 single VIX
RPM @marketmetronome

2Y YIELD SURGE

4.34% (+0.14 pp vs prior)

Highest reading in 30 days.

→ conditions shifted vs the recent baseline.

Score 82 single 2Y Treasury
RPM @marketmetronome

SOL funding negative — shorts pay longs

-0.0079% per 8h (+0.0003% vs prior)

Annualized: -8.6%

7th percentile — unusually low.

→ Shorts are paying longs to hold positions.

Score 182 multi sol funding

Key indicators

Indicator Latest Updated
Bitcoin 77,837 24m ago
Ethereum 2402.7 24m ago
S&P 500 7666.6 24m ago
VIX 15.25 24m ago
Fear & Greed 65 24m ago
10Y Treasury 4.79% 24m ago
BTC liquidations $26.2M 24m ago

Outcome ledger

September 2026 · same-series follow-through at 24h (5d for macro). Confirmation is a related series moving the expected way (e.g. VIX up after SPX down).

Alerts fired this month
30
% resolved in expected direction
23.8%
False-alarm rate
76.2%
Median time-to-confirmation
14h
Indicator False-alarm rate False / scored
SOL funding 60% 6/10
BTC funding 83.3% 5/6
SOL liquidations 100% 2/2
BTC liquidations 100% 1/1
ETH funding 100% 1/1
ETH liquidations 100% 1/1

Run status

Status
ok
Last run
23m ago (Sep 3, 2026, 7:32 AM UTC)
Summary
posted=0/8 today, emergency_24h=0, run_posts=0, skipped_indicators=0, apis_unhealthy=0
Daily quota
0/8 posted today (0 this run)
Emergency posts (24h)
0
Trigger
external-cron

API health

  • fred ok
  • yahoo ok
  • kraken ok
  • fear_greed ok
  • okx ok
  • hyperliquid ok
  • coinbase ok
  • finra ok

Market memory sync

Status
synced
Last ingested
73 event(s)
Total events
10962
Liquidations mode
coinalyze+okx
  • Binance liquidation API unavailable from this network — using OKX hourly buckets only. History builds forward from each sync (OKX exposes ~14h of fills per poll).